“The big question is if they can politically manage it even if it’s legally feasible,” said a Rayner ally. “A clear, retrospective approach of five to ten years without protections seems to unite many people.”
Opponents hope to persuade the PM to dilute the plans, but if not, they aim for a vote. They haven’t decided on a method yet, but amending a part of the legislation is under discussion, one adviser said to POLITICO.
Critics, like the adviser, were encouraged by Rayner’s speech: “That was significant last night. A major intervention.”
Vaughan, an immigration lawyer from Doughty Street Chambers where Starmer worked, has penned a letter to the PM urging reconsideration, with over 100 signatures from Labour MPs.
A government official noted: “There’s extensive engagement with MPs. It’s been ongoing for weeks. I hadn’t heard about willingness to alter, but there’s been significant engagement. Anyone wanting to talk to a minister gets the chance, and any floated proposals are open for discussion.”
Mahmood, however, believes her plans are popular with the public. Her team cites research from More in Common think tank that shows extending the ILR waiting period, even for current U.K. residents, is supported by Green supporters on the left.
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