Both the far-right National Rally and the centrist New French Partnership (NFP) have introduced no-confidence motions, which are set to be debated in parliament on Wednesday. As the NFP commands more seats than the far-right National Rally in the French lower house, its motion will take precedence for voting. With the National Rally expressing its intent to back the NFP’s motion, the likelihood of the parliament unseating the Barnier government seems high. If this happens, it will mark the first time since 1962 that a government in France has been ousted by parliamentary action.
The Barnier government, formed less than three months ago, was intended to address the deep divisions in parliament. President Emmanuel Macron’s unexpected decision to call snap elections last summer resulted in a fragmented National Assembly, with three main blocs—left-wing, center-right, and far-right—holding nearly equal power and unwilling to cooperate. Importantly, because parliament can only be dissolved once a year, new elections are not possible until the coming summer.
The political impasse has intensified criticism of Macron, leading to calls for his resignation from across the political spectrum. However, Macron dismissed these demands as “political fiction” and “nonsensical.”
“I was elected twice by the French people. I am extremely proud of this, and I will honor their trust with all my energy until the very last second of my term to serve the country,” Macron said, doubling down on his commitment to fulfilling his mandate.
While reaffirming his confidence in the Barnier government, Macron also worked to temper fears that its collapse might lead to a financial crisis, despite France’s growing national debt.
“We shouldn’t frighten people with these scenarios. We have a strong economy,” Macron said. “France is a wealthy, resilient country that has undertaken significant reforms, adhered to them, and possesses stable institutions and a solid Constitution.”
Despite his reassurances, the political stalemate and looming vote of no confidence have the potential to deepen the challenges facing Macron’s administration.
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