“Is this what developed countries mean by ‘taking the lead’?” questioned a senior negotiator from a major developing nation, punctuating their message with a crying emoji.
Reports reveal that developing nations will require over $1 trillion annually in external funding to mitigate global warming and maintain the 1.5 degrees Celsius threshold set by the Paris Agreement. A leaked draft suggests that the funding gap, estimated at up to $1.3 trillion, could largely be bridged through private sector investments by 2035.
Despite falling short of what developing nations demanded, the proposed figures could still be challenging for wealthier nations, according to an anonymous European negotiator. “It’s higher than expected,” the negotiator admitted, hinting that some countries in the bloc may need to revisit their policy commitments. Another European diplomat suggested that for his country, $250 billion represented “a good ballpark figure.”
In the U.S., senior Biden administration officials have pointed out that negotiations are being conducted with an eye toward the future. They aim to secure agreements that a later Democratic or climate-focused administration could fulfill. However, years of Republican-dominated governance, following the Trump administration’s retreat from climate commitments, have tempered expectations for the U.S.’s financial contributions in the near term. This reality narrows the scope of what the current administration can realistically deliver.
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