Voter support is highly volatile, with undecided voters likely playing a key role. Ipsos I&O reports about 13 percent of voters remain undecided, and only 26 percent of those surveyed are confident about their choices.
Researchers found that about half of voters supporting Timmermans’ GL-PVDA are considering switching to D66, while 37 percent of D66 voters might back GL-PVDA.
Other parties are also vying for undecided voters, with D66, the Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA), and the liberal People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) appealing to centrists. On the right, many voters are still contemplating support for VVD, the conservative JA21, or Wilders’ PVV, as per Ipsos I&O.
Recent polls, including a new survey, place Wilders’ party slightly ahead. However, Ipsos I&O suggests Wilders’ PVV could lose 14 seats from its 2023 election result. For D66, it could mean a significant victory following a sharp rise in the polls.
The center-right CDA, projected to secure 19 seats, trails behind the top three parties. Henri Bontenbal’s campaign for “boring” leadership initially boosted the party in the polls before a recent decline.
Led by Dilan Yesilgöz, the VVD of former Prime Minister Mark Rutte, now NATO chief, ranks fifth with about 17 projected seats.
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