Several prominent Socialists, such as former President François Hollande and former Prime Minister Bernard Cazeneuve, have suggested they might skip their party’s primary and run for president as independents.
However, polls indicate that Glucksmann, the head of his own small political group Place Publique, is the leading candidate on the center left, especially after bringing the Socialists and their allies to a substantial third-place victory in the 2024 European elections.
Despite his strong position, he and others are still far behind the far-right frontrunner Marine Le Pen, surveys show. For France’s presidential election, a runoff occurs if no candidate achieves over 50 percent of the vote. Current trends suggest Le Pen is likely to secure a place in the final two.
To reach the second round, Glucksmann will need to overtake center and center-right opponents like Edouard Philippe and the radical anticapitalist Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
Mélenchon, who declared his candidacy in May, is presently polling slightly ahead of Glucksmann, but both have a realistic chance of entering the runoff.
The rivalry between the two mirrors the divisions within left-leaning parties worldwide, notably the U.S. Democratic Party.













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