The risks of failure are high.
Laurent Wauquiez, the parliamentary leader of Les Républicains, warned on Monday that his party would not support a Socialist government heavily influenced by other more radical left-wing parties. These parties stood together in last year’s election as part of a coalition called the New Popular Front.
“We would never accept the harmful political platform of the New Popular Front,” Wauquiez stated. “That obviously applies to any Socialist government that embraces the ideas of the New Popular Front.”
Furthermore, with local elections approaching in March 2026, opposition parties will likely hesitate to ally with a president perceived as nearing the end of their reign.
Even if leaders of centrist parties agreed to cooperate on a budget, there’s no guarantee that other lawmakers would comply.
Consider the Bayrou vote: On Monday, Les Républicains were notably divided on the no-confidence vote, with 27 members supporting Bayrou and 13 opposing, despite the call from Les Républicains’ leader and Interior Minister Bruno Retailleau to support the government.













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