Ukraine Faces Daily Attacks as UN Prepares for Post-Conflict Scenarios
Ukrainian civilians continue to endure almost daily airstrikes targeting infrastructure, leaving many without homes, security, and electricity. More than 10 million people have been displaced, making this the largest displacement crisis in Europe since World War II.
So far, approximately 12,600 civilians have lost their lives, with over 29,000 injured. Repeated attacks on healthcare facilities have pushed doctors to work in near-impossible conditions. Despite this, the United Nations remains active on the ground, delivering humanitarian aid, restoring power, and providing emergency medical services.
Although Ukraine’s future remains uncertain, Matthias Schmale, the UN Resident and Humanitarian Coordinator for the country, told UN News that the organization is preparing for various post-conflict scenarios.
Preparing for a Possible Ceasefire
According to Schmale, there is growing optimism within the diplomatic community that a ceasefire could be reached soon. The UN is already intensifying recovery and development efforts in anticipation of this possibility.
The organization has played a crucial role in restoring energy facilities damaged by attacks, ensuring that millions of Ukrainians continue to have access to power—especially during the harsh winter. Additionally, the World Health Organization (WHO) has reopened or rebuilt primary healthcare centers along the frontlines that were previously destroyed. If hostilities cease, humanitarian efforts can be significantly expanded.
Addressing the War’s Mental Health Toll
The UN and its partners are ensuring that no vulnerable groups are left behind when the war ends. War veterans, in particular, will require significant psychological support. Schmale notes that nearly a million people have participated in the fighting, many of whom will return home after years of separation from their families, potentially leading to increased social tension and gender-based violence.
The psychological toll of the war is expected to persist for years. In response, the UN Development Programme has launched a digital app to help veterans access vital services. Additionally, over 80 “safe spaces” have been established to assist survivors of gender-based violence and internally displaced children by providing them with counseling and emotional support.
Preparing for the Return of Refugees
As speculation grows about the return of Ukrainian refugees, the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR) has collaborated with the government to launch a website offering vital information on housing, employment opportunities, and available services for those returning home. The UN is preparing to scale up these efforts significantly as more displaced individuals seek to rebuild their lives in post-war Ukraine.
Navigating an Uncertain Future
One of the biggest unknowns is how a potential ceasefire agreement would address the occupied territories in eastern and southern Ukraine, where around a million Ukrainians currently reside. Key questions remain, including the establishment of a demilitarized zone, the potential role of international peacekeeping forces, and access to humanitarian aid.
At the same time, the risk of continued violence remains. The presence of several nuclear power plants across Ukraine poses significant concerns, particularly if any are directly targeted in future attacks. On February 15, the UN’s International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reported that a drone strike had punctured a protective structure at the Chernobyl site, though radiation levels remained stable.
No matter what unfolds, Schmale emphasizes that the UN is committed to staying adaptable and prepared for any scenario. “We are doing everything possible to ensure that we can respond effectively to whatever happens next,” he stated.
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