The next general election in the United Kingdom is still a long way off — it is not required to take place until August 2029 — and Reform UK’s polling lead remains within the margin of error. According to POLITICO’s Poll of Polls, Labour and Reform UK are currently tied at 25 percent, while the Conservatives trail with 22 percent support.
However, this latest data is likely to raise concerns in No. 10 Downing Street, coming just months after Labour achieved a landslide victory with 33.7 percent of the vote in the most recent election. Reform UK, which had secured 14.3 percent at that election and placed third, appears to be gaining ground.
The polling also spells trouble for Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch, who has been attempting to recover support for the UK’s traditional right-wing party following their electoral drubbing.
According to YouGov’s latest figures, nearly a quarter (24 percent) of those who voted Conservative last July would now back Reform UK. Additionally, 43 percent of 2024 Conservative voters expressed support for a merger between the two parties, while only 31 percent opposed the idea.
Badenoch’s favorability rating has taken a further hit, falling to -29 from -25 in the previous month. This places her behind Reform UK figurehead Nigel Farage, whose rating has improved to -27, up from -32 in the last survey.
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